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These Two Signals Are Pushing My Crude Price Forecast Upward

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William (Bill) Patalon III is the Executive Editor and Senior Research Analyst for Money Morning. Before he moved into the investment-research business in December 2005, Bill spent 22 years as a journalist, most of it covering financial news as a reporter, columnist, and editor that included stints withGannett Co. Inc., and The Baltimore Sun.

Today Bill is the creator and editor of Private Briefing. With his latest project, he takes you "behind the scenes" of his established investment news website for a closer look at the action. Members get all the expert analysis and exclusive scoops he can't publish... and some of the most valuable picks that turn up in Bill's closed-door sessions with editors and experts.

To read more about Bill Patalon and his publications visit MoneyMapPress.com.

There are many ways to estimate where oil prices are going: reported inventory levels, imports and exports, production figures, and a myriad of ways to estimate demand.

With oil prices swinging up and down around the $40 a barrel range, business news outlets are full of people calling on these numbers to predict the price of oil.

Ignore them.

Because at the end of the day, there are two – and only two – good ways to really tell where the oil market is going.

Either one is a good indicator. But right now, both are telling us the same thing…

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